My mind is boggled by a question – which nations will rise in 30-50 years and I have no good bets. I agree that we will live in multipolar world with 3-4 value-based alliances. Creators (Liberal World) – good at Innovation 101, Producers (Pan-Asian World) – good at making Innvoation 101 better and cheaper, Sourcers (Russkiy Mir, some African countries) – provide ingredients for Innovation 102 and above, and finally – the Undecided (those which are not in previous 3 groups) – they are just situational.